Centre for the Microeconomic Analysis of Public Policy (CPP), 2015-2020

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COVID social distancing

How does the size of the UK’s fiscal response to coronavirus compare with other countries’?

Comment

The coronavirus outbreak and associated containment measures have caused huge economic fallout across the world. The sharp decline in economic activity that is now occurring will depress government revenues and push up public spending. In addition, governments have, appropriately, responded with packages of fiscal measures that will help support households, businesses and public services through these challenging times and limit the long-run damage done by the crisis. But these measures will also have the direct impact of adding considerably more to government borrowing.

14 May 2020

Changes down the line: flattening the curve of public transport use

Report

This report looks at normal (pre-lockdown) commuting patterns, what they tell us about who would be affected by continued social distancing on public transport, and what they tell us about how policy can ease public transport congestion in a world of continued social distancing.

15 May 2020

Getting people back into work

Report

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to unprecedented social distancing measures around the world to contain the spread of the virus. The UK has, like many countries, effectively closed down entire sectors of its economy and severely limited activity in many other sectors. This curtailing of activity is likely to lead to a sharp recession.

4 May 2020

Despite short-term relief, households could face debt problems as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic

Comment

UK households hold around £230bn of unsecured or consumer debt – including loans, credit card debt, hire purchase agreements and overdrafts. This equates to an average £8,000 per household. The bulk of that debt is held by those on relatively high incomes and in normal times its repayment tends not to cause financial difficulties. But in a minority of cases, debts can put stress on households’ budgets with consequences for living standards and mental health.

24 April 2020

Differences between key workers

Report
We analyse how key workers in different sectors differ in terms of their demographics and their working conditions.

23 April 2020

A bad time to graduate

Comment
One group which is going to find the next months and years especially difficult are those entering the labour market this year.

17 April 2020

Working paper graphic

Macroeconomic conditions and health in Britain: aggregation, dynamics and local area heterogeneity

Working Paper

Whether population health improves or worsens with changes in macroeconomic conditions is a long-standing question. Despite a substantial literature there is no clear consensus on the answer. Some studies find evidence that recessions are good for population health (i.e. poor health is pro-cyclical), while other studies find that health worsens in response to bad economic times (i.e. poor health is counter-cyclical). In addition, results for various health outcomes differ.

14 April 2020