Follow us
Publications Commentary Research People Events News Resources and Videos About IFS
Home Publications Working Paper

Working Paper

Our working papers include policy-relevant material intended for academic publication. The series is edited by Pedro Carneiro and Ian Preston.

ISSN: 1742-0415

IFS Working Paper W21/02
We build an equilibrium model of a small open economy with labor market frictions and imperfectly enforced regulations. Heterogeneous firms sort into the formal or informal sector. We estimate the model using data from Brazil, and use counterfactual simulations to understand how trade affects ...
IFS Working Paper W21/01
Thomas Crossley, Yifan Gong, Todd Stinebrickner and Ralph Stinebrickner
Unique longitudinal probabilistic expectations data from the Berea Panel Study, which cover both college and early post-college periods, are used to examine young adults’ beliefs about their future incomes.
IFS Working Paper W20/40
This paper examines the impact of changes in public long-term care spending on the use of public hospitals among the older population in England, and the cost and quality of this care.
IFS Working Paper W20/39
We examine the extent to which owner-occupiers in their 50s and 60s change their private pension saving when they complete repayment of the mortgage on their primary residence. Using panel data from a household survey, the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, we identify those who completed ...
IFS Working Paper W20/38
In this paper, we estimate the effect of house prices on whether or not young adults actively save in a private pension. We use job-level data from a survey of employers, matched to average house prices at the level of an individuals’ location of employment, exploiting geographical variation in ...
IFS Working Paper W20/37
We study the introduction of a price floor for alcohol that is aimed at correcting for negative consumption externalities. Policy effectiveness depends on whether the measure achieves large reductions in the most socially costly consumption.
IFS Working Paper W20/36
Michael P Keane, Sonya Krutikova and Timothy Neal
This working paper studies the impact of child work on cognitive development in four Low- and Middle-Income Countries. We advance the literature by using cognitive test scores collected regardless of school attendance.
IFS Working Paper W20/35
This working paper looks at the marginal propensity to consume from a representative sample of UK adults in July 2020. Reported MPCs are low, around 11% on average. They are higher, but still modest, for individuals in households with high current needs.
IFS Working Paper W20/34
We study consumer spending dynamics during the first infection wave of the COVID-19 pandemic using household scanner data covering fast-moving consumer goods in the United Kingdom.
IFS Working Paper W20/33
We use real-time scanner data in Great Britain during the COVID-19 pandemic to investigate the drivers of the inflationary spike at the beginning of lockdown and to quantify the impact of high-frequency changes in shopping behaviours and promotions on inflation measurement.