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Programme evaluation
IFS is involved in assessing the effectiveness of a number of labour market programmes, tax and transfer programmes and social programmes in a variety of fields, from education and training, to labour supply, childcare, health and welfare. In the presence of limited public resources, determining whether such policy interventions work and whether their cost is justified is of crucial importance and allows policy decisions to be guided by evidence on actual programme effectiveness.

The difficulty in estimating the causal impact of a programme is that we can never observe the outcome programme participants would have experienced had they not participated. Constructing this unobserved counterfactual is the central issue that evaluation methods need to address. In addition to the evaluation of specific government interventions, our research has been contributing to the development of econometric and statistical methods to address the evaluation problem.

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Year: 46 publications
05 March 2004
01 March 2004
29 January 2004
This is the third report of the longitudinal quantitative evaluation of Education Maintenance Allowance (EMA) pilots and the first since the government announced that EMA is to be rolled out nationally from 2004.
01 November 2003
W03/20
Regression, matching, control function and instrumental variables methods for recovering the impact of education on individual earnings are reviewed for single treatment and sequential multiple treatments with and without heterogeneous returns.
25 September 2003
Kim Perren, Sue Middleton and Carl Emmerson
This report contains a summary of quantitative evidence from an evaluation of the Education
10 May 2003
EWP04/03
Orazio Attanasio, Costas Meghir and Miguel Székely
In this paper we discuss the issues involved with the evaluation of social interventions and with the attempts at 'scaling them up'.
03 May 2003
EWP03/05
Orazio Attanasio, Costas Meghir and Miguel Szekely
In this paper we discuss the issues involved with the evaluation of social interventions and with the attempts at 'scaling them up'.
22 October 2002
CWP10/02
Four alternative but related approaches to empirical evaluation of policy interventions are studied.
16 August 2002
Four alternative but related approaches to empirical evaluation of policy interventions are studied: social experiments, natural experiments, matching methods, and instrumental variables.
03 July 2002
Lorraine Dearden, Carl Emmerson, Christine Frayne, Costas Meghir, et al.
The Department for Education and Skills (DfES) has commissioned a longitudinal evaluation
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Impact on Society
An IFS assessment of the effectiveness of the Education Maintenance Allowance informed the Government’s decision to extend the policy nationwide in 2004.
We run a policy evaluation methods course that has trained practitioners inside and outside government how to conduct an evaluation and interpret the results.
We have written free software to implement matching methods, substantially reducing the barriers faced by practitioners in using such methods.
Our ERA analysis contributed to the evaluation literature and informed the Government about the validity of the experimental findings.
IFS evaluated the Pathways to Work programme. This work proved key to the policy debate about how to get disability benefit claimants in work.
IFS researchers found that the In-Work Credit encouraged lone parents to leave benefit more quickly but did not increase work retention.
IFS research has contributed to consultation with governments in developing countries on the design of health and welfare programmes.
Researchers at IFS have advised OPORTUNIDADES on the design and evaluation of new scholarships, and are carrying out its impact evaluation.