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Public spending and finance
The Chancellor's tax and spending plans are constrained by two self-imposed fiscal rules: the golden rule and the sustainable investment rule. IFS analysis of the public finances monitors the government's performance with reference to the Treasury's fiscal rules.

Work in this area also looks at forecasts of revenue and spending and aims to inform public debate around the Budget, the Pre-Budget Report and the Spending Review. Part of this dissemination involves writing articles for a variety of non-technical publications, such as Public Finance Magazine. A full listing of news articles authored by IFS staff can be found in our press section.

IFS staff carry out monthly analysis of the public finance numbers: these are distributed as press notices and can also be found in our press section.

See our Budgets section for more details about Budget and related analyses.

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Year: 334 publications
01 May 1999
In spite of government dominance in financing health care in many countries, the private health care sector remains important.
01 February 1999
W99/02
Joao M.C. Santos Silva and Frank Windmeijer
The demand for certain types of health care services depends on decisions of both the individual and the health care provider.
01 December 1998
C071
This commentary assesses the impact of capping on local service provision. In particular it addresses the following questions. What factors determine desired local spending? Did capping constrain spending by local councils? Which local services bore the brunt of any cuts? Did the quality of local services suffer as a result?
01 November 1998
C072
This Commentary looks at public pay in detail, tracing its trend relative to the private sector over the 1980s and 1990s and showing how the gap in pay between the public and private sectors differs dramatically across occupations, gender and education groups. These findings illustrate how misleading comparisons of public and private sector pay based on aggregate data can be.
01 August 1998
Nicolas Bloom and John Van Reenen
This paper examines the arguments for changing the ways that UK drug prices are regulated.
01 May 1998
C070
This report provides a response to the government's proposals. Is the current local government system likely to discourage "over-spending" by councils in the absence of capping powers? Will the government's proposals make the link between local spending decisions and Council Tax bills clearer to voters? Can measures to encourage councils to respond to the views of their residents be successful in making councils more accountable to local people?.
01 May 1998
This article assesses the merits of using private finance to deliver public services against three criteria: whether it will lead to additional investment in social infrastructure, whether it represents good value for the taxpayer's money and whether the use of private finance will reduce the public sector's flexibility to pursue its public service objectives.
01 February 1998
C068
Carl Emmerson, John Hall and Lindsay Brook
In this commentary, the authors examine public support for more local decision making and increased freedom for local councils to raise council tax levels. They also assess whether local voters would support higher spending on local services such as schools, housing and the police if they had to pay for it directly through higher council tax bills.
01 February 1998
The UK experience has been that forecasts of the PSBR have been beset with problems since the
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