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Public spending and finance
IFS researchers conduct ongoing analysis of the outturns of and outlook for the public finances. Our work in this area looks at forecasts of government revenues and spending (overall and on specific areas) and aims to inform public debate, particularly around the time of Budgets, Autumn Statements, Spending Reviews and Elections. Over many years we have kept track of the evolution of the public finances and how different governments have fared. A number of IFS publications have assessed the fiscal performance of past administrations.

The financial crisis and the economic damage associated with it opened up a structural hole in the public finances that, if left unaddressed, would be impervious to the economic recovery and would put public sector debt on an unsustainable path. The coalition Government faces a significant challenge to restore the public finances to better health. A comprehensive description of how the public finances evolved through the Great Recession can be found in Disease and cure in the UK: the fiscal impact of the crisis and the policy response.

Overview of research on public spending and finance.

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Year: 611 publications
20 September 2013
IFS analysis of September's public finance figures.
19 September 2013
BN140
Ben Deaner and David Phillips
This briefing note aims to describe the patterns of public service expenditure in Scotland and to set out a number of issues for the future.
19 September 2013
Like the UK government, the government of a Scotland independent from 2016 would face difficult choices about how much to spend on public services.
21 August 2013
IFS analysis of August's public finance figures.
31 July 2013
BN139
There has been a growing debate about how the benefits system may be affected if Scotland becomes independent. This briefing note aims to describe the patterns of benefit expenditure in Scotland and set out a number of issues for the future.
19 July 2013
IFS analysis of July's public finance figures.
08 July 2013
This paper was given at an event organised by Conservative Health on 8 July 2013 at Portcullis House.
27 June 2013
This presentation was given at the IFS analysis of the government's Spending Review on 27 June 2013.
27 June 2013
This presentation was given at the IFS analysis of the government's Spending Review on 27 June 2013.
27 June 2013
This presentation was given at the IFS analysis of the government's Spending Review on 27 June 2013.
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Impact on Society
An IFS economist advised a “Citizens Jury” on the welfare system, including basic facts and important issues about its purpose and structure.
Past research into pension reform has contributed to evidence given to government on public service pensions.
Public spending analysis stokes public debate and prompts increased transparency over government’s plans for spending cuts.
IFS researchers have evaluated whether the temporary VAT cut was able to boost the economy effectively.
IFS researchers helped make a case against proposed cuts to public spending on science.
IFS arguments for independent official fiscal forecasts contributed to the government’s decision to set up an Office for Budget Responsibility.
IFS recommendations for presenting fiscal forecasts are being taken up by the new Office for Budget Responsibility.
Research told policymakers that, despite greater expenditure on health care, Americans are less healthy than their English counterparts.
IFS researchers assessed the government’s fiscal rules and advised policymakers as to how they could be made more credible.
We provided evidence to the Browne Review of higher education funding about the impact of a number of higher education finance reforms.
IFS researchers draw together lessons from behavioural economics for tax and benefit policy in a report aimed at policymakers.
We analysed the impact of the 2006 HE funding reforms and informed the surrounding debate.
IFS researchers have investigated whether it is possible to measure the distributional impact of changes to spending on public services.