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Programme evaluation
IFS is involved in assessing the effectiveness of a number of labour market programmes, tax and transfer programmes and social programmes in a variety of fields, from education and training, to labour supply, childcare, health and welfare. In the presence of limited public resources, determining whether such policy interventions work and whether their cost is justified is of crucial importance and allows policy decisions to be guided by evidence on actual programme effectiveness.

The difficulty in estimating the causal impact of a programme is that we can never observe the outcome programme participants would have experienced had they not participated. Constructing this unobserved counterfactual is the central issue that evaluation methods need to address. In addition to the evaluation of specific government interventions, our research has been contributing to the development of econometric and statistical methods to address the evaluation problem.

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Year: 46 publications
15 February 2009
Primary school enrolment and completion rates are almost universal in rural Mexico. In this paper, we investigate whether the primary school transfer generates positive externalities in the household.
01 November 2008
This article asks how best to evaluate the effectiveness of anti-poverty programmes.
21 June 2008
The differential performance of six Swedish active labour market programs for the unemployed is investigated in terms of short- and long-term employment probability and unemployment-benefit dependency.
27 May 2008
Stuart Adam, Antoine Bozio, Carl Emmerson, David Greenberg and Genevieve Knight
This latest research forms part of a comprehensive independent evaluation of Pathways to Work.
01 May 2007
This report explores, in detail, how representative of the full eligible population the ERA study participants are.
04 December 2006
Carl Emmerson, Christine Frayne, Sandra McNally and Olmo Silva
In this paper we study the impact of Aimhigher: Excellence Challenge using information contained in the Labour Force Survey (LFS) for individuals aged between 16 and 20.
04 December 2006
Carl Emmerson, Christine Frayne, Sandra McNally and Olmo Silva
This paper updates previous estimates of the impact of the programme on the GCSE marks and reported expected school leaving ages, among year 11 pupils.
10 July 2006
W06/13
Orazio Attanasio, Emla Fitzsimons, Ana Gomez, Martha Isabel Gutiérrez, Costas Meghir and Alice Mesnard
The paper studies the effects of Familias en Acción, a conditional cash transfer programme implemented in rural areas in Colombia in 2002, on school enrolment and child labour.
29 March 2006
W06/08
In this paper we show how experimental data from field trials can be used to enhance the evaluation of interventions and we also illustrate the potential importance of allowing for longer term incentive and General Equilibrium effects.
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Impact on Society
An IFS assessment of the effectiveness of the Education Maintenance Allowance informed the Government’s decision to extend the policy nationwide in 2004.
We run a policy evaluation methods course that has trained practitioners inside and outside government how to conduct an evaluation and interpret the results.
We have written free software to implement matching methods, substantially reducing the barriers faced by practitioners in using such methods.
Our ERA analysis contributed to the evaluation literature and informed the Government about the validity of the experimental findings.
IFS evaluated the Pathways to Work programme. This work proved key to the policy debate about how to get disability benefit claimants in work.
IFS researchers found that the In-Work Credit encouraged lone parents to leave benefit more quickly but did not increase work retention.
IFS research has contributed to consultation with governments in developing countries on the design of health and welfare programmes.
Researchers at IFS have advised OPORTUNIDADES on the design and evaluation of new scholarships, and are carrying out its impact evaluation.