Facts and figures about UK taxes, benefits and public spending.
Income distribution, poverty and inequality.
Analysing government fiscal forecasts and tax and spending.
Analysis of the fiscal choices an independent Scotland would face.
Case studies that give a flavour of the areas where IFS research has an impact on society.
Reforming the tax system for the 21st century.
A peer-reviewed quarterly journal publishing articles by academics and practitioners.
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Many time-series data are known to exhibit 'long memory', that is, they have an autocorrelation function that decays very slowly with lag. This behaviour has traditionally been attributed to either aggregation of heterogenous processes, nonlinearity, learning dynamics, regime switching, structural breaks, unit roots or fractional Brownian motion. This paper identifies an entirely different mechanism for long memmory generation by showing that it can naturally arise when a large number of simply linear homogenous economic subsystems with a short memory are interconnected to form a network such that the outputs of each of the subsystem are fed into the inputs of others. This networking picture yields a type of aggregation that is not merely additive, resulting in a collective behaviour that is richer than that of individual subsystems. Interestingly, the long memory behaviour is found to be almost entirely determined by the geometry of the network while being relatively insensitive to the specific behaviour of individual agents. Search |

