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Please note: this commentary was revised on 24 February 2009 to remove the incorrect assertion in the summary and conclusion that a bad recession would worsen the combined material deprivation and relative income measure of child poverty. Table 3 shows the opposite to be the case.
The 2008 Pre-Budget Report (PBR) said that 'the Government will take stock of progress towards its 2010 and 2020 child poverty target in the  Budget'. As background to that exercise, this paper updates our previous analysis of the prospects for child poverty in the UK in 2010-11 and 2020-21.