Facts and figures about UK taxes, benefits and public spending.
Income distribution, poverty and inequality.
Analysing government fiscal forecasts and tax and spending.
Analysis of the fiscal choices an independent Scotland would face.
Case studies that give a flavour of the areas where IFS research has an impact on society.
Reforming the tax system for the 21st century.
A peer-reviewed quarterly journal publishing articles by academics and practitioners.
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Type: Observations
Established in 1969, the IFS has come a long way since four financial professionals lamented the poor design of Capital Gains Tax and decided that fiscal policy in Britain needed more effective independent scrutiny.
Our work now covers public finances, tax and welfare policy, tax law, education, inequality and poverty, pensions, productivity and innovation, consumer behaviour and international development. As fate would have it, we celebrate our anniversary at a time when all these topics could not be more relevant to the policy debate.
We are grateful to all those who support our work - and in particular to the Economic and Social Research Council, whose core funding makes it possible to sustain our basic research and to respond flexibly to rapidly changing policy developments.
We begin our anniversary year with our annual Green Budget, which examines some of the many challenges that must be keeping Alistair Darling awake at nights as his Budget draws nearer. In February we will be casting our eye over the Government's progress in reducing child poverty. And later in the year we will be publishing our flagship review of tax reform, chaired for us by the Nobel laureate Sir James Mirrlees.
As I hope you have noticed, to celebrate our anniversary we have also given our website a spring clean. We hope this will make access to our analysis quicker and simpler for visitors, as well as easier on the eye. There is still plenty of work to do, so please let us know if you experience any difficulties. We have also introduced this "Observations" slot, which will provide an opportunity for our researchers to offer brief comments on current developments and debates. If you would like receive email alerts when these are posted, please contact Bonnie Brimstone.
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View all Observations in the series
Recent Observations
Cutting the deficit: three years down, five to go?
The UK is in the fourth year of a planned eight-year fiscal tightening. Following further announcements made in Budget 2013, this fiscal consolidation is now forecast to total £143 billion by 2017–18. The UK is intending the fourth largest fiscal consolidation among the 29 advanced economies for which comparable data are available. By the end of this financial year, half of the total consolidation is expected to have been implemented. However, within this tax increases and cuts to investment spending have been relatively front-loaded, while cuts to welfare spending and other non-investment spending have been relatively back-loaded.
Deficit unchanged
The March Budget forecast that borrowing would fall by £0.1 billion from £121.0 billion in 2011–12 to £120.9 billion in 2012–13. On Tuesday, the Office for National Statistics is due to release its first estimate of public sector net borrowing in March 2013 and, therefore, for the whole of 2012–13. Borrowing could easily end up being higher or lower than it was in the previous year, either due to backwards revisions, the uncertainty inherent in forecasting borrowing even a month in advance, or both. However, whether borrowing is slightly up or down in cash terms is economically irrelevant. Either way, the bigger picture is that having fallen by roughly a quarter between 2009–10 and 2011–12, borrowing is forecast to be broadly constant through to 2013–14.
Women working in their sixties: why have employment rates been rising?
Employment rates through the recession have been remarkably robust, with today’s ONS figures showing employment remaining close to 30 million. The young have experienced historically low employment rates and high unemployment rates but the employment rate of women aged 60 to 64 has increased as fast since 2010 as it did during the 2000s. An important explanation is the gradual increase in the state pension age for women since 2010, which has led to more older women being in paid work. Without this policy change, the employment rate for 60 to 64 year women would have been broadly flat since 2010.
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