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Journal Articles
November 2008 (Blackwell Publishing)
Article
Long-term effects of fiscal policy on the size and distribution of the pie in the UK
Type: Journal Articles
Authors: Xavier Ramos and Oriol Roca-Sagales
ISSN: Print: 0143-5671 Online: 1475-5890
Volume, issue, pages: Vol. 29, No. 3, pp. 387 - 411
JEL classification: C5, E6, H3

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This paper provides a joint analysis of the output and distributional long-term effects of various fiscal policies in the UK, using a vector autoregression (VAR) approach. Our findings suggest that the long-term impact on GDP of increasing public spending and taxes is negative, and especially strong in the case of current expenditure. We also find significant distributional effects associated with fiscal policies, indicating that an increase in public spending reduces inequality while a rise in indirect taxes increases income inequality.

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