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Type: Journal Articles Authors: Ciaran Driver ISSN: Print: 0143-5671 Online: 1475-5890
Published in: Fiscal Studies, Vol. 28, No. 2, June 2007
Volume, issue, pages: Vol. 28, No. 2, pp. 205-225
JEL classification: E22, L60
Press release: Fiscal Studies, June 2007
We use UK survey data on variation in business optimism by manufacturing size group to estimate the determinants of optimism using OLS and SURE. There are similarities across the size groups but also some differences: the medium-size group seems to have been unusually affected by real interest rates in recent years. We also model investment authorisations, conditional on business optimism. Again, there are similarities across the size groups. However, the largest-size group, and possibly also the medium-size group, seem to be investing less in recent years in relation to reported optimism. By contrast, capital investment by smaller-sized firms has been stable in relation to business optimism. Some tentative explanations for these findings are explored. Search |
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