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Type: Journal Articles Authors: James Banks, Richard Blundell and Sarah Tanner
Published in: American Economic Review
Volume, issue, pages: Vol. 88, No. 4, pp. 769-88
Previous version: IFS Working Papers [Details]
This paper addresses whether households save enough for their retirement. For successive date-of-birth cohorts the authors analyze income and expenditure patterns around the time of retirement. They find a fall in consumption as household heads retire which cannot be fully explained by a forward-looking consumption-smoothing model that accounts for expected demographic changes and mortality risk. Controlling for labor-market participation explains part, but not all, of this dip. The authors argue that the only way to reconcile fully the fall in consumption with the life-cycle hypothesis is with the systematic arrival of unexpected adverse information.
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