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December 2004
Article
Too close to call
Type: Newspaper Articles
Authors: Carl Emmerson and Christine Frayne

The Pre-Budget Report claimed that the chancellor would meet his Golden Rule with billions of pounds to spare. But with the traditional margin of forecasting error itself stretching into the billions, only time will tell.

Last week's Pre-Budget Report was probably the last before the general election, which is likely to occur towards the end of the current economic cycle. This is the first full cycle since Chancellor Gordon Brown introduced his two fiscal rules in 1998: the Golden Rule and the Sustainable Investment Rule.

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