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Journal Articles
February 1990
Article
Why social security expenditure in the 1980s has risen faster than expected: the role of unemployment
Type: Journal Articles
Authors: Richard Disney and Steven Webb
ISSN: Print: 0143-5671 Online: 1475-5890
Volume, issue, pages: Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 1-20

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The difficulties encountered in forecasting social security expenditure (significantly underpredicted for much of the 1980s) have long been a source of concern-not least to officials in the DSS. Although official forecasts are undertaken and published primarily because they are needed for the public expenditure planning process, they should also palay a scientific role in testing the underlying theories abou the determinants of social security spending.

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