Facts and figures about UK taxes, benefits and public spending.
Income distribution, poverty and inequality.
Analysing government fiscal forecasts and tax and spending.
Analysis of the fiscal choices an independent Scotland would face.
Case studies that give a flavour of the areas where IFS research has an impact on society.
Reforming the tax system for the 21st century.
A peer-reviewed quarterly journal publishing articles by academics and practitioners.
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Raffaella Giacomini came to UCL from a position at UCLA in summer 2007. Her recent research focuses on: Predictive Ability Testing, Forecast Evaluation, Forecasting in a Changing Economy, Model Selection, Density and Quantile Forecasting.
All available publications
Raffaella Giacomini and Barbara Rossi, June 2012,
Model comparisons in unstable environments,
cemmap Working Papers
, CWP13/12
Raffaella Giacomini and Giuseppe Ragusa, October 2011,
Incorporating theoretical restrictions into forecasting by projection methods,
External publications
, CEPR
Andrea Carreiro and Raffaella Giacomini, September 2011,
How useful are no-arbitrage restrictions for forecasting the term structure?,
Journal of Econometrics,
Vol. 164, No. 1, pp. 21-34,
Elsevier,
Journal Articles
Raffaella Giacomini, August 2010,
Forecast comparisons in unstable environments,
Journal of Applied Econometrics,
Journal Articles
Raffaella Giacomini, March 2009,
Detecting and predicting forecast breakdowns,
Review of Economic Studies,
Vol. 72, No. 2, pp. 669-705,
Journal Articles
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