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March 2006


In this issue

Recent IFS analysis has highlighted the importance of the Government's forthcoming Comprehensive Spending Review in shaping the political debate over "tax and spend" in the run-up to the next election.

The Budget pre-announced tough settlements for the Home Office and four other departments. It was also striking that the Chancellor laid much greater emphasis on education than the NHS - we calculate that if he wishes to increase education spending at the rate seen to date under Labour, he might have to reduce growth in health spending to rates much closer to those seen under the Conservatives than those of recent years.

Our analysis of the latest official Households Below Average Income statistics also showed that he would have to reduce child poverty half as quickly again over the next six years as over the past six years to meet his target. After the Budget, existing policies are likely to hold child poverty constant at best. We will be keeping a close eye on the evolution of the tax and spend debate over the coming months.

Robert Chote
Director

Budget 2006

The Chancellor made his Budget statement on Wednesday 22nd March 2006. On Thursday 23rd March, the day following the budget, the Institute for Fiscal Studies held a lunchtime briefing at the IFS offices in London.
For further information, including presentation slides, please visit our 2006 Budget page.

Other recent publications

Working papers
The economic consequences of being left-handed: some sinister results
Kevin Denny and Vincent O'Sullivan, 28 March 2006
Product market reforms, labour market institutions and unemployment
Rachel Griffith, Rupert Harrison and Gareth Macartney, 28 March 2006
Understanding pensions: cognitive function, numerical ability and retirement saving
James Banks and Zoë Oldfield, 27 March 2006
Briefing notes and reports
Poverty and inequality in Britain: 2006
Mike Brewer, Alissa Goodman, Jonathan Shaw and Luke Sibieta, 13 March 2006
How many lone parents are receiving tax credits?
Mike Brewer and Jonathan Shaw, 12 March 2006
The effect of the working families’ tax credit on labour market participation
Mike Brewer and James Browne, 24 February 2006

Research news

Newborns and new schools:critical times in women’s employment

This report presents the findings of research into how and when differences in work behaviour between men and women develop, focusing on the evolution of the gender gaps immediately after childbirth and during the initial years of family development.
Download report

Economists' walks

These walks were originally put together for the World Congress of the Econometric Society, which was held at University College London in August 2005. IFS was involved in the organisation of the event. The biographical information and the economists's walks were intended to help visitors find their way around and understand the historical context of economics at UCL and in London.
Discover the walks

Recent press releases

Analysis of the Budget 2006
22 March 2006
Slow growth in average income but large fall in pensioner poverty
13 March 2006
Government paying tax credits and benefits to 200,000 more lone parents than live in the UK
12 March 2006
Government misses child poverty targets
09 March 2006
Ethnic differences in birth outcomes in England
08 March 2006
Taxation and Big Brother: information, personalisation and privacy in 21st century tax policy
08 March 2006
 

Public finance bulletins

Public finance bulletin: March 2006
20 March 2006
Public finance bulletin: February 2006
20 February 2006
Public finance bulletin January 2006
20 January 2006
Public finance bulletin December 2005
20 December 2005
 

Events calendar

ESRC Econometric Study Group: Annual Conference
13 July 2006 - 15 July 2006
 
Centre for Microdata Methods and Research

cemmap
news

Recent working papers
Consumer Benefits from Increased Competition in Shopping Outlets: Measuring the Effect of Wal-Mart
Jerry Hausman and Ephraim Leibtag, 16 March 2006
A note on bootstraps and robustness
Tony Lancaster, 23 February 2006
Bayesian quantile regression
Tony Lancaster and Sung Jae Jun, 23 February 2006
Courses and other events
Time Series Econometrics
06 April 2006 - 07 April 06
Information and Inference in Econometrics
01 May 2006 - 01 May 06
Panel Time Series
03 May 2006 - 05 May 06
 

Fiscal Studies

March 2006

Taxation and Big Brother: information, personalisation and privacy in 21st century tax policy, Joel Slemrod

Ethnic differences in birth outcomes in England, Lorraine Dearden, Alice Mesnard and Jonathan Shaw

Economic instruments to improve UK home energy efficiency without negative social impacts, Simon Dresner and Paul Ekins

The analysis of poverty data with endogenous transitions, Simon Burgess, Carol Propper and Matt Dickson

Quantifying the costs of investment limits for Chilean pension funds, Solange M. Berstein and Rómulo A. Chumacero

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