In this issue
Gordon Brown's Pre-Budget Report gave some tantalising clues as to the ground on which he wants to fight the next general election. With the public finances again underperforming Treasury forecasts, the Chancellor pencilled in real growth in public spending of just 1.8 percent a year over the three years to be covered by the 2007 Comprehensive Spending Review. If he sticks
with this, it would mean fighting the next election with public spending falling as a share of national income. This would intensify pressure on Whitehall to deliver efficiency improvements, but also limit David Cameron's room for manoeuvre in offering tax cuts. Our Green Budget next month will examine whether the Pre-Budget Report numbers add up and if further tax increases or spending restraint will be needed to bring about the improvement in the public finances Mr Brown is looking for.
Robert Chote Director
Pre-Budget Report 2005
| This year the Chancellor's Pre-Budget Report was published on Monday 5th December. IFS held a briefing the day after the Chancellor's statement; slides are available on our PBR page.
PBR page
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Other recent publications
Working papers
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Briefing notes and reports
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Research news
The Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice (cemmap) at IFS, in collaboration with five other research institutes across Europe, is taking part in a research programme funded by the European Union under their Sixth Framework Programme. The Microdata Methods and Practice Research and Training Network aims to keep European researchers contributing at the expanding methodological frontier of the subject and to facilitate the take up of these methods by applied researchers in Europe.
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| Recent press releases
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cemmap news
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Recent working papers
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Fiscal Studies
December 2005
Immigrants in the British labour market, Christian Dustmann and Francesca Fabbri
Early education and children's outcomes: low long do the impacts last?, Alissa Goodman and Barbara Sianesi
Does Germany collect revenue from taxing the normal return to capital?, Johannes Becker and Clemens Fuest
Pricing pension insurance: the proposed levy structure for the Pension Protection Fund, David McCarthy and Anthony Neuberger
Is a tax cut on cultural goods consumption actually desirable? A microsimulation analysis applied to Spain, Juan Prieto-Rodriguez, Desiderio Romero-Jordán and José Felix Sanz-Sanz
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