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December 2005


In this issue

Gordon Brown's Pre-Budget Report gave some tantalising clues as to the ground on which he wants to fight the next general election. With the public finances again underperforming Treasury forecasts, the Chancellor pencilled in real growth in public spending of just 1.8 percent a year over the three years to be covered by the 2007 Comprehensive Spending Review. If he sticks with this, it would mean fighting the next election with public spending falling as a share of national income. This would intensify pressure on Whitehall to deliver efficiency improvements, but also limit David Cameron's room for manoeuvre in offering tax cuts. Our Green Budget next month will examine whether the Pre-Budget Report numbers add up and if further tax increases or spending restraint will be needed to bring about the improvement in the public finances Mr Brown is looking for.

Robert Chote
Director

Pre-Budget Report 2005

This year the Chancellor's Pre-Budget Report was published on Monday 5th December. IFS held a briefing the day after the Chancellor's statement; slides are available on our PBR page.

* PBR page

Other recent publications

Working papers
Unexploited connections between intra- and inter-temporal allocation
Thomas Crossley and Hamish Low, 11 November 2005
Booms and busts: consumption, house prices and expectations
Orazio Attanasio, Laura Blow, Robert Hamilton and Andrew Leicester, 10 November 2005
Understanding co-operative R&D activity: evidence from four European countries
Laura Abramovsky, Elisabeth Kremp, Alberto López, Tobias Schmidt and Helen Simpson, 18 October 2005
Briefing notes and reports
Background facts and comments on “Supporting growth in innovation: enhancing the R&D tax credit”
Laura Abramovsky, Rachel Griffith and Rupert Harrison, 21 November 2005
Prepared for retirement? The adequacy and distribution of retirement resources in England
James Banks, Carl Emmerson, Zoë Oldfield and Gemma Tetlow, 11 October 2005
Fuel taxation
Andrew Leicester, 06 June 2005

Research news

The Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice (cemmap) at IFS, in collaboration with five other research institutes across Europe, is taking part in a research programme funded by the European Union under their Sixth Framework Programme. The Microdata Methods and Practice Research and Training Network aims to keep European researchers contributing at the expanding methodological frontier of the subject and to facilitate the take up of these methods by applied researchers in Europe.
Network website
Network website  

Recent press releases

Pricing pension insurance: the proposed levy structure for the Pension Protection Fund
16 December 2005
Immigrants in the British Labour Market
09 December 2005
Does early education have long-lasting effects?
09 December 2005
Initial reaction to the Pre-Budget Report 2005
05 December 2005
An initial response to the 2nd Pensions Commission report
30 November 2005
Are retirement resources adequate?
11 October 2005
Parental background and child outcomes: how much does money matter, and what else matters?
27 September 2005
 

Public finance bulletins

Public finance bulletin December 2005
20 December 2005
Public finance bulletin November 2005
18 November 2005
Public finance bulletin October 2005
20 October 2005
Public finance bulletin September 2005
20 September 2005
Public finance bulletin August 2005
18 August 2005
 

Events calendar

IFS Green Budget 2006
25 January 2006 - 25 January 06
 
Centre for Microdata Methods and Research

cemmap
news

Recent working papers
GMM with many weak moment conditions
Whitney Newey and Frank Windmeijer, 06 December 2005
Identification of a competing risks model with unknown transformations of latent failure times
Simon Lee, 30 November 2005
Ability, sorting and wage inequality
Pedro Carneiro and Simon Lee, 30 November 2005
Courses and other events
Discrete Choice Modelling
11 January 2006 - 13 January 06
Microsimulation
19 January 2006 - 20 January 06
Modern Bayesian Econometrics
16 February 2006 - 17 February 06
 

Fiscal Studies

December 2005

Immigrants in the British labour market, Christian Dustmann and Francesca Fabbri

Early education and children's outcomes: low long do the impacts last?, Alissa Goodman and Barbara Sianesi

Does Germany collect revenue from taxing the normal return to capital?, Johannes Becker and Clemens Fuest

Pricing pension insurance: the proposed levy structure for the Pension Protection Fund, David McCarthy and Anthony Neuberger

Is a tax cut on cultural goods consumption actually desirable? A microsimulation analysis applied to Spain, Juan Prieto-Rodriguez, Desiderio Romero-Jordán and José Felix Sanz-Sanz

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