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Centre for the Evaluation of Development Policies
Research projects

Tax and social security systems

As developing country governments increase their expenditure, additional revenues need to be raised in an efficient and equitable way. In order to help with this task, EDePo has a growing research programme on tax and social security system issues, largely focusing on middle income countries.

To date, our research in this area has concentrated on describing and analysing actual, proposed and counterfactual changes to tax and social security systems, making use of existing large household and individual level surveys. In particular, we model the impact of reforms on incomes, welfare and behaviour in developing countries in order to better understand the distributional and efficiency effects of various reforms.

Examples of the reserach questions we consider include: how do changes to the Chilean pension system affect individuals' labour supply, including the choice of working in the formal or informal labour market?; what are the distributional effects of changes to direct and indirect taxes in Mexico and El Salvador?; how large are potential consumer welfare gains from removing VAT exemptions and reduced rates in Mexico?; what are the challenges for tax reform in Turkey?

Publications
04 May 2012
Presentations 
Presented at the Mirrlees Review: Tax Reform for a Modern Economy, 4 May, 2012, Istanbul
01 March 2011
External publications 
This is the final paper of a study aimed at building capacity for the distributional analysis of tax reforms in Mexico and other similar middle‐income countries.
01 November 2010
External publications 
This paper lays out the methodological issues involved in finding the distributional impact of the tax changes in Mexica and describes the approach the authors will take in their analysis.